Friday, January 23, 2009

Newspapers In A Candy Store

To my fellow students: The newspaper industry is weathering a storm that is at least partly of its own making. Wait. That sounds too cliche. I'll start over.  My opinion is that the newspaper industry has been in a candy store too long.  Okay, well, I'll come back to that.

Everyone has heard about the recession, decreasing circulation, low advertising revenues and, of course, the “horrible” online news craze that is destroying our beloved newspapers. Yes, many companies are pulling the purse strings a little tighter nowadays because of the economy. Sure, circulation is down and many readers are getting their news online now. However, with all of the “bad” news I would have thought newspaper profit margins would be in the negative numbers. Surprisingly, though, that is not the case at all. 

It is true that profits have dwindled because of decreasing circulation and advertising revenue; however, the average newspaper industry profit margin is still considered high when compared to other industries. According to an article on pbs.org, a “typical newspaper with 100,000 circulation makes a 15.6 percent annual pre-tax profit margin.” Compare these numbers to the Wal-Mart profit margin of 5.4 percent. Though recent changes in the industry have cut overall profits, many newspapers are still making lots of money. 

So, why are newspapers going bankrupt? Why, for instance, did the Tribune Company recently file for bankruptcy when their profit margin is 18.3 percent? It is because of the enormous debt load many newspapers have accumulated. The Tribune Company, publisher of five Pulitzer Prize-winning newspapers, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in an attempt to deal with almost $13 billion in debt. According to an article on npr.org, Tribune Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Sam Zell said, "Factors beyond our control have created a perfect storm — a precipitous decline in revenue and a tough economy coupled with a credit crisis that makes it extremely difficult to support our debt." True, the economy and other factors are beyond their control, but if this enormous debt was not strapped on their back would they be filing for bankruptcy? Probably not. 

Okay, back to the candy store. Here's my reasoning. Newspaper conglomerates have been like kids in a candy store, grabbing up loans they really can’t afford, and now they are suffering from a terrible debt toothache. The only thing to do is face the incredibly painful removal of the problematic debt and learn to make purchases much more slowly. It seems to me that newspapers just need a good businessman, err, or a dentist? 


2 comments:

  1. I like your candy store analogy. Good stuff.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Good, original insight Kathy. Most people don't realize that newspapers are still profitable even in this grim era. However, if you couple that with the future of media and the increasing popularity of online news consumption, I think there's your problem.

    How many people will be subscribing to a print copy of newspapers in 10 years? Probably a lot less than today, and the problem is newspapers still rely on print advertising for a significant portion of their budget.

    Heck, I'm a news junkie. But in these belt-tightening times I've dumped my AJC and ABH subscriptions. My morning routine of a cup of coffee and a newspaper has been replaced with a cup of coffee and a laptop. I'm sure it's the same story for millions of Americans.

    ReplyDelete